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But stocks would be vulnerable should talks collapse and the United States hike tariffs to 25 percent on $200 billion of Chinese imports. Although investors increasingly believe a more accommodative Fed now provides protection from a drop, some say a significant trade disappointment could send stocks plunging. “If talks fail and additional tariffs are applied, I do believe stocks could fall through their December 24th lows,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York sterling silver cufflinks monogrammed.

The drumbeat of global trade developments has convulsed markets since U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs on steel and aluminum imports a year ago, sparking concerns that a full-blown trade dispute would undermine the global economy. Investors had zeroed in on March 1 as a potential culmination of the U.S.-China dispute since Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping late last year shelved any new tariffs and reset discussions for 90 days. Trump said on Friday he may extend the deadline for a deal while keeping current tariffs in place sterling silver cufflinks monogrammed.

“If it’s a six-month delay, that’s a problem,” said Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading in Greenwich, Connecticut. “Because then you just leave this issue lingering out there for quite some time.”. Trade talks resume next week in Washington, with both sides saying this week’s negotiations in Beijing made progress. (GRAPHIC: U.S.-China trade dispute vs S&P 500 – Should the countries reach a deal, the size of the market reaction will likely rest on the details of the agreement sterling silver cufflinks monogrammed.

In talks this week, the countries focused on technology, intellectual property rights, agriculture, services, non-tariff barriers and currency, and potential Chinese purchases of U.S. goods and services, according to the White House sterling silver cufflinks monogrammed. Stocks’ response could also depend on how much prices already reflect the decision and if any other major market-sensitive issues such as weakening economic data have arisen. “There is growing optimism that a deal gets done and I think that is increasingly reflected at these prices,” said Walter Todd, chief investment officer at Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina..

Anthony Saglimbene, global market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, doubted the talks would collapse, noting “the markets have pressured the U.S. and China enough to bring both countries to the bargaining table, and for various reasons, a temporary deal or ceasefire extension is the most likely path.” sterling silver cufflinks monogrammed. “Risk assets across the spectrum would see severe selling pressure if trade talks completely collapsed and tariff rates rose,” Saglimbene said. Some investors believe stocks have almost fully priced in a deal, leaving little room for further gains..